Tuscaloosa, Alabama 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

867
FXUS64 KBMX 130537
AFDBMX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
1237 AM CDT Wed Aug 13 2025

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 1206 PM CDT TUE AUG 12 2025

Scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms will remain
through the afternoon and evening, decreasing in coverage and
intensity overnight. An area of low level convergence is mainly
across the middle to eastern parts of the state, with a mid level
jet focused over the eastern half of Alabama and through Georgia.
Chances for thunderstorms could be greater in these areas, with
higher rain chances and cooler high temperatures today. Wednesday
will see much of the same pattern as the low level flow
transitions to a southwesterly direction. PW values will remain
max with a chance for showers and scattered thunderstorms
throughout the day. Cooler high temperatures will once again be
present in the eastern portions of the state, though there
shouldn`t be as wide a spread from west to east in values as the
low level flow out of the southwest will keep the state more
consistently covered with a scattered to overcast cloud deck.

24

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through next Monday)
Issued at 1206 PM CDT TUE AUG 12 2025

Thursday through the end of the long term will see a persistent
upper level zonal flow across the northern CONUS with a high
pressure setting up over the Great Plains and west. A weak ridge
will set up over the southeast CONUS. While a few models are
trying to show a strong decrease in rainfall each day through the
extended, there may be enough moisture and instability each day
for some convection, though only isolated coverage at best. Right
now the forecast has slight to chance PoP in, and feel
comfortable with that trend.

With the ridge and decrease in coverage of convection,
temperatures will warm into the low to mid 90s by Friday and
remain in this range through the weekend. Heat indices will be
near 100, especially for areas in the west. With the recent cooler
high temperatures we have had, this may be a difficult transition
for vulnerable groups and those spending more time outside.

24

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1237 AM CDT WED AUG 13 2025

Conditions are expected to deteriorate overnight at all the TAF
sites with the development of IFR ceilings around 09z. As
ceilings gradually rise after 12z to MVFR and VFR, numerous
showers will develop in the 12z to 17z time frame and mature into
scattered thunderstorms after 17z.

87/Grantham

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Moist summertime conditions will continue through the week, and
there are no fire weather concerns. Widespread shower development
is expected today, before a gradual downward trend in rain chances
begins on Thursday. 20-foot winds will be from the south to
southeast through Wednesday before shifting to the west and
southwest for Thursday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     87  71  91  71 /  80  30  40  20
Anniston    86  72  89  72 /  80  30  40  20
Birmingham  86  73  90  73 /  80  20  50  30
Tuscaloosa  88  73  91  73 /  70  20  60  30
Calera      86  73  89  73 /  80  20  50  30
Auburn      86  73  88  73 /  80  40  40  20
Montgomery  85  73  91  73 /  80  30  40  20
Troy        85  72  90  73 /  80  30  40  20

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...24
LONG TERM....24
AVIATION...87/Grantham